Connah's Quay vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AIR
0 - 1
CON
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CON
2 - 3
LLA
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
CON
4 - 1
BUC
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
TNS
0 - 0
CON
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
TNS
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
LLA
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 6
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
6 - 0
CEF
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 2
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |