Connah's Quay vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CON
3 - 1
PRE
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
CON
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 2
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 0
CON
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 3
FCK
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
FCK
2 - 0
NEW
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 2
NEW
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 1
VAL
20%
21%
59%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 1
NEW
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |