Connah's Quay vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
BAN
4 - 1
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
TNS
5 - 0
CON
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CON
1 - 3
RHY
53%
22%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 3
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 3
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 0
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAL
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
ABE
3 - 3
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 3
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
PRE
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |