Connah's Quay vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
29%
24%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
CON
0 - 5
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
CON
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
ABE
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 1
LLA
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 1
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LID
1 - 3
LLA
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LLA
4 - 3
ABE
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
LLA
42%
25%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |