Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Connah's Quay vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
ABE
0 - 0
CON
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
CLI
53%
23%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CON
0 - 3
TNS
25%
22%
53%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
TNS
1 - 0
CON
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
DBU
3 - 0
KIL
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
GAZ
0 - 0
KIL
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
KIL
2 - 1
GLA
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
KIL
1 - 0
HIB
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HOM
0 - 1
KIL
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |