Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 3
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
CON
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 1
CON
15%
24%
61%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 1
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
CAR
76%
17%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -9 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 1
TNS
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
53%
22%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
HAV
2 - 1
BAR
24%
26%
49%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CEF
4 - 1
HAV
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |