Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CON
3 - 1
PRE
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 2
CON
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
NEW
3 - 0
HAV
73%
17%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 4
TNS
12%
21%
68%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 5
HAV
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
HAV
4 - 1
TON
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
TAF
0 - 2
HAV
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +3 |