Connah's Quay vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -3 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
CON
0 - 2
BAN
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
PRE
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CWM
1 - 3
CAM
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CWM
1 - 0
TAF
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CWM
2 - 1
LLA
18%
20%
63%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CWM
3 - 2
UND
62%
18%
20%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 1
CWM
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |