Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.9%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
FLI
55%
24%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HAV
6 - 1
CEF
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 3
ABE
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 2
HAV
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 4
TNS
8%
16%
76%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
90%
8%
2%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |