Connah's Quay vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 2
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
POR
0 - 4
CON
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
CON
5 - 3
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
ABE
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
71%
17%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 3
AIR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
HAV
59%
21%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 4
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |