Connah's Quay vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
CON
4 - 1
AIR
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 2
CON
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
TNS
5 - 1
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CON
4 - 2
LLA
25%
22%
53%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LLA
4 - 2
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
LLA
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 2
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 2
CAR
25%
22%
52%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |