Connah's Quay vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
CON
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 3
CON
10%
22%
67%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
CON
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CON
5 - 0
CEF
81%
15%
5%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
ABE
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
HAV
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
2 - 0
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |