Connah's Quay vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
TNS
32%
23%
45%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
CON
4 - 0
CAE
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
STM
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CON
8 - 0
LID
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
AIR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
ABE
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAR
22%
22%
55%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |