Connah's Quay vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 4
CON
8%
16%
77%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
LLA
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
CAR
75%
17%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
LLA
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TON
1 - 4
CAR
9%
18%
73%
|
59 | 22 | 37 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
TNS
1 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
CAR
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |