Connah's Quay vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 1
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAN
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
TNS
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
CEF
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CON
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |