Connah's Quay vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PRE
2 - 2
CON
20%
21%
60%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 1
CON
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HAV
1 - 5
CON
10%
17%
73%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAR
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BAN
3 - 2
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 1
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
7%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GUI
4 - 2
CAR
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -2 |