Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
CON
27%
26%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 3
CON
13%
18%
69%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
CON
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 6
CON
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CON
4 - 1
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAE
53%
21%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CAE
3 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 1
CAE
28%
24%
47%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |