Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 1
CON
22%
23%
55%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
CON
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
ABE
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
TNS
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 7
CON
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 3
TNS
21%
23%
57%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
RHY
4 - 2
CAE
24%
21%
55%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 0
CEF
38%
25%
36%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |