Connah's Quay vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
11º
2º
23
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
CON
25%
26%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CON
1 - 2
HAV
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
CON
8 - 0
PRE
83%
12%
4%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CON
6 - 1
CAE
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
PEN
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 3
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
GUI
63%
19%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABE
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |