Connah's Quay vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 6
CON
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CON
0 - 2
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 5
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
HAV
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 3
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 6
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAR
29%
29%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
6 - 2
BAL
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |