Connah's Quay vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PRE
2 - 2
CON
20%
21%
60%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 2
BAL
41%
25%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
TNS
4 - 0
BAN
55%
22%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAN
47%
22%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BAN
3 - 2
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |