Connah's Quay vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
BAL
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 4
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 3
TNS
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
PRE
4 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
RHY
1 - 3
CON
47%
23%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
BAN
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
LLA
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
6 - 1
BAN
20%
21%
59%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
BAN
5 - 0
BAL
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAN
11%
19%
70%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |