Connah's Quay vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
CON
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CON
1 - 5
TNS
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 4
CON
9%
17%
75%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAE
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 5
BAL
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 0
FMC
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 15 | 51 | 0 |