Connah's Quay vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
12º
2º
40
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
55%
23%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
AIR
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
TNS
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CON
3 - 3
NAN
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
HAV
67%
19%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
BAL
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 6
BAL
5%
11%
84%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
SLR
0 - 1
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |