Connah's Quay vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
5º
2º
45
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
AIR
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 1
CON
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
0 - 2
CON
9%
18%
73%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
PEN
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
BRI
85%
11%
5%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAL
56%
22%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
PON
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |