Connah's Quay vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
DEN
1 - 0
CON
13%
20%
68%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
CON
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 2
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
POR
0 - 4
CON
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 0
BAL
35%
25%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
5 - 2
POR
65%
20%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
BAL
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 0
BAL
14%
21%
64%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |