Connah's Quay vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 3
RHY
40%
24%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 5
TNS
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
CEF
3 - 2
CON
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
RHY
63%
20%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 0
BAL
42%
25%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 1
LLA
82%
13%
6%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 3
TNS
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 1
BAL
20%
23%
58%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |