Connah's Quay vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 4
CON
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
CAE
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 1
CON
22%
23%
55%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
RHY
0 - 3
AIR
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
AIR
5 - 0
GUI
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
AIR
31%
22%
47%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AIR
3 - 2
BAN
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AIR
5 - 0
GRE
77%
14%
8%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |