Connah's Quay vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TNS
5 - 0
CON
54%
22%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 2
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
CON
51%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
CON
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 7
AIR
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
AIR
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 4
LLA
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 3
AIR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 0
BAL
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +3 |