Connah's Quay vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 2
CON
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CON
5 - 0
POR
51%
23%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PRE
0 - 3
CON
21%
22%
56%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
CON
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
BAL
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 1
AIR
23%
26%
52%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
AIR
0 - 0
RHY
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
AIR
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TNS
4 - 0
AIR
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 0
ABE
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +2 |