Connah's Quay vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
PRE
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
BAL
7 - 0
CON
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CAE
2 - 1
CON
39%
23%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
POR
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 2
AIR
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AIR
2 - 0
LID
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 2
AIR
13%
18%
70%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
AIR
2 - 1
BAL
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
AIR
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |