Connah's Quay vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CON
2 - 6
BAN
21%
22%
58%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
BAL
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 4
CON
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 3
TNS
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
PRE
4 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 1
TNS
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
AIR
5 - 0
PRE
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LID
1 - 5
AIR
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 1
AIR
20%
22%
58%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 1
LLA
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |