Connah's Quay vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.9%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
BAR
69%
19%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
AIR
0 - 4
CON
16%
25%
59%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
AIR
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
CON
2 - 1
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
4 - 3
LID
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
LID
1 - 1
HAV
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
GOY
2 - 3
LID
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
LID
1 - 1
GOY
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LID
2 - 1
CAE
86%
10%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |