Connah's Quay vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
2 - 1
CON
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
PRE
34%
23%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 3
CAR
30%
24%
45%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CON
0 - 4
ABE
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LID
0 - 2
PRE
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
LID
0 - 6
ABE
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ABE
5 - 1
LID
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LID
1 - 6
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LID
0 - 3
POR
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |