Connah's Quay vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CON
4 - 2
LLA
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
29%
24%
48%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
CON
0 - 5
BAL
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 0
CON
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
LID
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
29%
24%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
NEW
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LID
1 - 3
LLA
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ABE
4 - 3
LID
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |