Connah's Quay vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
CON
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CON
5 - 0
CEF
81%
15%
5%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 6
HAV
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 3
ABE
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 2
ABE
74%
16%
9%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |