Connah's Quay vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
COV
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 0
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 2
AIR
51%
23%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 2
ABE
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 10
TNS
9%
17%
75%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |