Connah's Quay vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
TNS
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 7
CON
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 0
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
CON
1 - 3
SHA
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 4
CON
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 4
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 0
LLA
61%
21%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 1
AFC
84%
12%
5%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 4
CON
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
ABE
5 - 3
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |