Connah's Quay vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 1
CON
70%
17%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 6
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
BAN
23%
20%
57%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
CON
3 - 3
PRE
44%
23%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 3
BAL
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TNS
3 - 0
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 0
AIR
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ABE
4 - 1
PRE
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |