Conil vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
CEU
27%
25%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
AYA
0 - 2
CON
12%
21%
68%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAB
0 - 1
CON
61%
22%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
COR
24%
24%
53%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CIS
3 - 0
CON
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
XER
1 - 1
ARC
79%
15%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SRO
4 - 1
XER
14%
19%
67%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -3 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
XER
0 - 1
POZ
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LAP
2 - 1
XER
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
XER
1 - 3
LEB
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |