Conil vs UD Marinaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+773%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 0
CON
54%
23%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CON
0 - 2
ARC
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 4
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
REC
40%
26%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
CON
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 2
MAR
52%
26%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
ALG
33%
27%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARC
1 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
REC
3 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |