Conil vs Sevilla C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
16º
11º
46
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
64.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
93.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 49.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
CON
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
CIS
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CON
4 - 1
POZ
40%
26%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
XER
1 - 0
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
CRD
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Sevilla C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SEV
2 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 0
SEV
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
SEV
40%
27%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SEV
2 - 0
CDR
45%
25%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 1
SEV
53%
24%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |