Conil vs Puerto Real CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
4 - 4
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
REC
40%
26%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
CON
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CON
5 - 1
JER
25%
25%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +4 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Real CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARC
1 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 1
ARC
53%
25%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
ARC
40%
28%
33%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ARC
1 - 0
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
REC
1 - 1
ARC
53%
25%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |