Conil vs Mairena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 1
CON
35%
26%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CON
2 - 3
ALC
53%
24%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
REC
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
CAB
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 2
CDG
19%
24%
58%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAI
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
MAI
1 - 0
CEU
34%
28%
37%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SRO
0 - 0
MAI
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 0
MAI
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |