Conil vs Mairena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
49.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
AYA
5 - 2
CON
58%
22%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CON
0 - 3
SRO
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
COR
5 - 0
CON
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CON
0 - 2
SEV
26%
26%
49%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
CON
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAI
3 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 1
MAI
44%
28%
29%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MAI
3 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
MAI
38%
29%
32%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAI
3 - 0
ANT
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |