Conil vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
CON
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
UTR
7 - 0
CON
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -3 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
SEV
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
3 - 3
SRO
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 3
CEU
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CRD
3 - 0
LUC
54%
25%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 0
ASJ
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
LUC
28%
26%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |