Congo vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CGO
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CGO
2 - 1
ETH
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 4
CGO
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CGO
0 - 1
ANG
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
CGO
3 - 0
ZAM
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CGO
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 0
GUI
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MLI
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UGA
0 - 1
ZAM
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
ZIM
0 - 1
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |