Congo vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
GUI
1 - 1
CGO
76%
14%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1974 |
CGO
2 - 1
COD
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
CGO
2 - 0
MUS
83%
11%
7%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
CGO
0 - 1
TUN
41%
23%
37%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1973 |
GUI
5 - 1
CGO
71%
15%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
ZAM
1 - 0
UGA
62%
19%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1974 |
EGY
3 - 1
ZAM
80%
12%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CIV
54%
22%
25%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
2 - 1
ZAM
59%
19%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
1 - 1
ZAM
60%
19%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |