Congo vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 0
CGO
73%
16%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 1
CGO
57%
22%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 1977 |
CMR
1 - 2
CGO
72%
16%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Dec. 1977 |
CGO
8 - 0
BDI
66%
18%
17%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1976 |
CMR
3 - 2
CGO
71%
16%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
UGA
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1978 |
TUN
2 - 1
LBY
76%
15%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1978 |
LBY
0 - 0
TUN
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TUN
4 - 1
EGY
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |