WC Qual. Africa 1ra Ronda Final
Global 6-1
Congo vs Sao Tome and Principe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
STP
0 - 5
COG
12%
20%
68%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 1
COG
18%
25%
58%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
COG
0 - 1
SDN
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
GHA
3 - 1
COG
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
COG
0 - 3
GHA
20%
27%
53%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
STP
0 - 5
COG
12%
20%
68%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LBY
8 - 0
STP
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -9 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
STP
0 - 1
LBY
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1981 |
GNQ
1 - 1
STP
74%
14%
11%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +10 |